Thousands of learners across the country held their breath as the Department of Basic Education (DBE) rolled out the national figures. It’s a moment that caps off years of hard graft for these young people, and let’s face it, it’s a rite of passage that shapes futures. Over 900,000 candidates sat the National Senior Certificate (NSC) exams last year, up from about 880,000 in 2024.

What the numbers tell us

The Independent Examinations Board (IEB) led the charge with its results yesterday, reporting a 98.31% overall pass rate in the 2025 NSC examinations it oversees, with 89.12% of candidates qualifying for degree study. This is slightly lower than last year’s 89.37% outcome, but remains an impressive showing for learners across independent schools. Over 17,000 pupils wrote these exams, up from around 16,300 the previous year, which might explain the tiny fluctuation.

Now for the big national reveal: Minister Siviwe Gwarube announced last night that the NSC pass rate stands at 88% – a record high and an improvement of about 0.7% from 2024’s 87.3%. More than 656,000 learners passed, and for the first time ever, every single one of the country’s 75 education districts achieved pass rates above 80%. 

Breaking it down further, a record 345,000 learners earned bachelor’s passes. This is the highest number ever recorded, even though the percentage slipped slightly from 48% to 46%.

On the subject front, there were some mixed signals in the gateways: mathematics pass rate dropped from 69% to 64%, accounting from 81% to 78%, while physical sciences edged up to 77% from 76%. Minister Gwarube stressed that these dips highlight weaknesses in early foundations, and she’s pushing hard for better early childhood development and mother-tongue bilingual education to fix them long-term.

Provincially, KwaZulu-Natal led the pack with a stellar 90.6% pass rate, followed by Free State at 89.33%. Even the lower end, Eastern Cape, at 84.17%, cleared the 80% mark. Every province hit at least 84%, which is encouraging progress.

The minister praised the Class of 2025 for their resilience, especially after Covid disruptions hit them in Grade 8. But she was clear: pass rates are only part of the picture. True success means quality learning, not just headlines.

But the lead-up to today has hardly been smooth sailing. There have been two major flashpoints that risk overshadowing the achievements of those who worked hard for their results.

Leak scandals and system integrity 

The first was a confirmed leak of examination papers. An internal breach of 2025 NSC papers, including English Home Language, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, was traced back to inside the DBE, affecting a small number of matric candidates in several Pretoria schools. Around 40 learners were implicated, and disciplinary processes are underway; their results will be withheld as investigations conclude. 

Critics, like the Freedom Front Plus, slammed it as a blow to public confidence, suggesting parents might flee to independent boards like the IEB or SACAI, which dodged similar woes.

The DBE defended themselves,  saying their systems caught the breach during marking, and they’ve suspended suspects, launched investigations, and started criminal proceedings. Director-General Mathanzima Mweli called the criticisms “politically motivated” and “unfounded”, insisting breaches happen worldwide, but their response proves the system’s credibility. It’s a reminder that maintaining exam integrity is crucial in a country still grappling with educational divides.

There’s also been a simmering battle over how results should be published to the public. The Department of Basic Education continues to publish results, using examination numbers rather than names,  in newspapers and online, despite criticisms from groups like the EFF and the Information Regulator, who argue that this could embarrass or harm learners. 

The “30% Pass Mark” 

One of the biggest talking points in recent years has been South Africa’s so-called “30% pass mark”. Many commentators and political figures, including MPs from various parties, have called for this threshold to be reviewed or scrapped, arguing that it devalues the matric qualification and does not reflect true understanding of the material. 

It’s important to unpack what this means. Technically, there isn’t a simple, single “30% pass mark” on your overall matric certificate. Candidates must meet specific criteria in their subjects, compulsory passes in languages, and a minimum number of subjects. However, the myth lives on that scoring 30% in a subject is enough to “pass matric”. That perception has become a flashpoint for criticism, with opponents saying it harkens back to an era of low expectations and does little to prepare learners for tertiary study or contemporary jobs.

Some activists and educators, including Build One South Africa Leader and MP Mmusi Maimane, have even likened the low minimum thresholds to remnants of apartheid-era education policies that set low benchmarks for black South Africans, arguing passionately for a rise to minimum requirements closer to 50 %.

But simply raising the bar without addressing systemic inequalities, from overcrowded classrooms to teacher shortages and under-resourced rural schools, risks exacerbating failure rates and further entrenching disadvantage.

Schools reopen tomorrow 

While matric learners navigate their results, millions of other pupils are preparing to return to the classroom for the 2026 academic year. Public schools across South Africa reopen tomorrow, with teachers already back from Monday to prepare for the new term. 

The excitement of new beginnings is tempered by practical frustrations. Thousands of learners are yet to receive confirmed placements just days before the start of the term. In the Western Cape alone, more than 7500 learners were still awaiting placement as recently as early January. The WCED has placed 96% of applicants, but late submissions (more than 10,000 since November) have thrown a spanner in the works. They’ll sort the rest once schools reopen, using a 10-day snap survey to identify extra spaces and allocate them.

In Gauteng, approximately 4858 Grade 1 and Grade 8 learners still hadn’t been placed by 6 January, with the online admissions system under strain from population growth and late applications. 

As matric results are digested, celebrated (and in some cases contested), the broader education landscape in South Africa presents a mix of promise and persistent pressure points. Today’s high pass rates, particularly among independent schools, are cause for pride. But questions about exam integrity, placement bottlenecks and meaningful learning standards show there is plenty of work left to be done.

Congrats to the Class of 2025, you’ve made history.

Emma@explain.co.za |  + posts

Emma is a freshly graduated Journalist from Stellenbosch University, who also holds an Honours in history. She joined the explain team, eager to provide thorough and truthful information and connect with her generation.